Low stakes tourney Tuesday. I finished fifth out of 30+ players. No money. Pocket aces helped get me there when I flopped a set and turned a boat. The 8 on the turn made my boat and made trips for my opponent. Payday. But it wasn't enough. I misplayed two hands (at least). Pocket queens I raised pre-flop to $10k (blinds are 2K – 4k, 6 handed) and I get one caller, the big blind. Flop comes 10 high and I shove for my last $11k. I wanted a call and I talked him out of it. He tells me later he had pocket sevens. I should have kept my mouth shut.
Now, the hand of interest. Last hand for me. Blinds are 4k-8k, 5 handed. I've counted my chips and I have $24k. I fold my BB to an all-in and now I'm SB with $4k in the pot and $16 behind and I'm short stack at the table. It folds to me and I'd only have $12k behind if I call, $16 if I fold and I look at J7 off suit in the SB. I decide to shove expecting a fold from the BB but the BB wakes up with KJ off suit and insta-calls. He was a pretty tight player so I think he would have folded any marginal hand. I retrospect I think a pre-flop limp and then a shove on the flop would have worked better. Shoving pre-flop lets him think he has 5 cards to come and make his hand. That makes for a pretty wide calling range pre-flop. If I waited and shoved on the flop I could win it right there (assuming he missed the flop 1 in 3 times) and with only 2 cards to come his calling range was pretty small. If he did hit the flop I was beat in any case (shoving pre-flop or on the flop). I guess what I am trying to say is he is more likely to fold after the flop than before the flop.
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